the decline of illegal music downloads

In: Media| Music| Web/Tech

28 Apr 2006

By the time the RIAA, CRIA, and all of the other recording industry associations figure out which 71 year old grandparents and 12 year old kids they want to sue next, it may not be worth their trouble even by their own dreamworld justification.

Think about it.  Now that people are wising up to BitTorrent clients and sharing bigger files at higher transfer rates than we ever did using Napster (or Kazaa or Grokster or whatever), many have actually downloaded most of the music they actually want to have by now.  I can download entire discographies in one click.  I think it has probably been years since I searched for and downloaded one single track. 

I might decide that I want to hear a new release once in a while, but I’m not opposed to paying $5-10 for that as long as it plays on all the devices and players that I use for my digital music collection.  But even if I did, even if all of us downloaded new releases that we wanted, it would be nowhere near the volume of music that was downloaded illegally between 1999 and 2004.

To be honest, I think the music industry is worrying about the problem far too late.  They’ve already ridden out the worst of the storm.  People have downloaded all the back catalog music that they want by now.  A co-worker actually said to me the the other day, "My digital music collection is pretty mature now.  I’m focusing on movies."  As for the remaining laggards, they’ll download all 40 gigs of what they want in a matter of days. 

Sure labels have taken big hit to sales, but in fairness, they also put out 5 years worth of really horrible music.  One could make the argument that music industry revenues were overinflated anyways, and P2P downloading was the tool the market used to fight the collusion and let true market demand deflate the industry’s padded pockets.

So let’s call it even and focus on making the digital media experience what it should be.  A terabyte of free unified remote media storage for everyone accessible on all devices and operating systems.  Wifi access everywhere so we can stop strapping hard drives to our belts.  And for the love of Shawn Fanning, can somebody please build an integrated mobile device that works well so I can ditch my separate PDA, phone, multimedia player, and camera and free up some pocket space once and for all???

Share/Save/Bookmark

Comment Form

About this blog

Formerly titled "one man's pop culture commentary", I've decided to re-label this for a few reasons:
(1) It's now home for all my online 'stuff'
(2) the search engines like it better
(3) the posts will be less pop-culture focused

Thanks for dropping by.

Find me online here:

email me my LinkedIn profile follow me on Twitter my Leslieviller profile my Facebook profile call me on Skype

Thanks to Janko for the free Handyicons 2 icon set.

  • Nolin: I like the analogy, Scott. Makes me wonder if/when there will be a PVR commercial-skipping or BitTo [...]
  • scott: Another great post and discussion. I say track away! And don't come for free content if you don' [...]
  • Axel: An interesting model, Nolin. A nice way to formalize the process. I would like to see how it applies [...]
  • Nolin: Good point on 'tone'. I need to dig into Scott's thinking still...thanks for the reminder. The r [...]
  • Axle Davids: "tone" - personality may be a more "plug and play" term "Extract / Transform / Infuse" @dmscott a [...]

My Recent Twitterings

Post Categories

Art (5)
B2B (1)
Books (1)
Business (15)
Current Affairs (11)
Film (4)
Food and Drink (1)
Games (1)
Marketing (23)
Media (12)
Music (12)
Politics (6)
Quirky Life (6)
Religion (1)
Science (1)
social media (4)
Television (10)
Things People Do (3)
Travel (2)
Uncategorized (1)
Web/Tech (16)
Weblogs (5)

WP Cumulus Flash tag cloud by Roy Tanck requires Flash Player 9 or better.